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Several exit polls on Wednesday (April 29, 2026) predicted a clear majority for the BJP in Assam and an edge for the party over the ruling TMC in West Bengal, while projecting a return of the DMK government in Tamil Nadu and a comeback by the Congress-led UDF in Kerala after 10 years. Almost all forecast a return to power for the AINRC-led NDA government in Puducherry. There was a record turnout of 92.65% in the second and final phase of polling for the West Bengal Assembly election on Wednesday (April 29, 2026), amidst isolated incidents of unrest and violence. .

The counting of votes for all the five Assemblies, West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, Kerala and Assam, will be taken up on May 4. Polls were conducted in a single phase in Assam, Kerala, Puducherry and Tamil Nadu. West Bengal saw two-phase polling on April 23 and 29. On April 9, Assam, Kerala and Puducherry went to polls. Tamil Nadu went to polls on April 23

West Bengal Exit Poll 2026

West Bengal remains one of the most politically intense battlegrounds. Exit polls suggest a neck-to-neck contest between the ruling regional force and the national challenger, with significant variation across pollsters.

Agency	TMC	BJP	Others
P-Marq	118–138	150–175	2–6
Matrize	125–140	146–161	6–10
People’s Pulse	177–187	95–110	2–6
JVC	131–152	138–159	2–4
Chanakya Strategies	130–140	150–160	6–10

Tamil Nadu Exit Poll 2026

Tamil Nadu sees a rare triangular contest involving the ruling alliance, the opposition front, and an emerging regional challenger. Exit polls show wide divergence, indicating a highly competitive and fragmented verdict.

Agency	DMK-CONG	AIADMK-BJP	TVK	Others
Axis My India	92–110	22–32	98–120	0
P-Marq	125–145	65–85	16–26	1–6
Matrize	122–132	87–100	10–12	0–6
People’s Pulse	125–145	65–80	18–24	2–6
JVC	75–95	128–147	8–15	0

Kerala Exit Poll 2026

Kerala continues its bipolar political pattern. Exit polls indicate a clear advantage to the United Democratic Front, though the Left remains competitive in several regions.

Agency	UDF	LDF	Others
Axis My India	78–90	49–62	0–3
P-Marq	71–79	62–69	1–4
Matrize	70–75	60–65	5–9
Manorama-CVoter	82–94	44–56	1–3
JVC	72–84	52–61	3–7

Assam Exit Poll 2026

Assam appears headed towards a decisive mandate. Exit polls consistently show a strong performance by the ruling alliance, indicating voter consolidation and organizational strength.

Agency	BJP+	Congress+	Others
Axis My India	88–100	24–36	0–3
P-Marq	82–94	30–40	1–5
Matrize	85–95	25–32	6–12
JVC	88–101	22–33	2–5
Chanakya Strategies	88–98	22–32	3–5

Conclusion & National Implications

The India Election 2026 exit polls highlight a politically diverse landscape. While some states appear to deliver decisive mandates, others remain finely balanced. These early signals suggest shifting voter priorities, evolving regional identities, and the growing importance of alliances. Final results may vary, but the exit polls clearly indicate that India’s electoral contest remains dynamic, competitive, and deeply democratic.